Policy Documents

Estimated Financial Effects of the "America's Affordable Health Choices Act of 2009" (H.R. 3962)

Richard S. Foster –
November 13, 2009

This memorandum summarizes the Office of the Actuary's estimates of the financial and coverage effects of the non-tax provisions in the proposed "America's Affordable Health Choices Act of 2009" (H.R. 3962) through fiscal year 2019. This estimates are based on the bill as passed by the House on November 7 and include the estimated net Federal expenditures in support of expanded health insurance coverage, the associated numbers of people by insured status, the changes in Medicare and Medicaid expenditures and revenues, and the overall impact on total national health expenditures. We have not estimated the impact of the various income and excise tax proposals or the impact on Federal administrative expenses is excluded. A summary of the data, assumptions, and methodology underlying our estimates of national health reform proposals is available in the appendix to our October 21 memorandum on H.R. 3200.