The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), a project of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, Science and Environment Policy Project (SEPP), and The Heartland Institute, recently released a new Policy Brief titled “Global Warming Surprises: Temperature data in dispute can reverse conclusions about human influence on climate.” The policy brief is written by acclaimed atmospheric scientist Dr. S. Fred Singer, founder of NIPCC and chairman of SEPP. Dr. Singer based the NIPCC Policy Brief on a presentation he gave at the Twelfth International Conference on Climate Change.
According to Dr. Singer, “exploring some of the intricacies of climate science can lead to surprising results.” He compares the alleged warming trends of 1910–42 and 1977–2000 and finds that while the first trend was real and well documented, the second is an artifact of faulty data collection and analysis. “I wouldn’t exactly call it ‘fake,'” Dr. Singer writes, “but it just does not exist.”
Dr. Singer exposes changes in the ways air and sea-surface temperatures are measured and analyzed that are probably responsible for the false warming trend of the late twentieth century. “The absence of such a warming trend removes all of IPCC’s evidence for anthropogenic global warming,” he writes. “Obviously, if there is no warming trend, these demonstrations fail—and so do IPCC’s proofs for AGW.”
Singer’s “Global Warming Surprises” can be added to the growing list of publications that challenge the claims and solutions of the environmental left, and it echoes the conclusions made presented in a recent report examining the validity of global average surface temperature (GAST) data produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and the Hadley Center. The report was written by James Wallace III, Joseph D’Aleo, and Craig Idso. (Dr. Idso coauthored, with Dr. Singer and the late Dr. Robert Carter, The Heartland Institute’s latest book on climate change, Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming.)
In their research, Wallace, D’Aleo, and Idso attempted to test the hypothesis GAST data from NOAA, NASA, and Hadley were credible and accurate enough to be used for climate modeling and analysis. They found researchers at these organizations made inappropriate historical data adjustments to GAST data and that those adjustments favor the viewpoint of climate alarmists about global warming. “Thus,” the authors say, “it is impossible to conclude from the three published GAST data sets that recent years have been the warmest ever – despite current claims of record setting warming.”
President Trump’s announcement that the United States will withdraw from the Paris Climate Treaty, along with other pro-science and pro-energy actions, have made us optimistic the Trump administration will reverse the anti-science and anti-energy policies of the Obama administration.
On November 9, 2017, Heartland will host the America First Energy Conference in Houston, Texas, which will consider President Donald Trump’s bold proposal to transform U.S. energy goals and examine where America stands today in the global energy market. Admission is free for elected officials and their staff. Please contact Government Relations Coordinator Arianna Wilkerson to reserve your place at 312/377-4000 or [email protected].
What We’re Working On
Budget & Tax
Research & Commentary: Kansas Leads the Way in Welfare Reform
In this Research & Commentary, Senior Policy Matthew Glans examines Kansas’ recent welfare reforms and their success in leading recipients out of poverty. “The real focus of welfare programs must be to provide temporary or supplemental assistance while encouraging work and independence. States should also reform assistance programs that trap low-income Americans in poverty by disincentivizing work. Kansas’ reform can serve as a model for other states to follow,” Glans wrote. Read more
Research & Commentary: Florida Shouldn’t Categorize Direct Primary Care as Health Insurance
In this Research & Commentary, Senior Policy Analyst Matthew Glans examines direct primary care and a revived plan in Florida that would clarify that direct primary care agreements do not constitute insurance, avoiding all the pitfalls associated with insurance. “Direct primary care empowers patients and doctors, giving them greater freedom to establish and participate in health care provider models that work best for their unique needs. Florida should remove unnecessary regulatory barriers to direct primary care to help revitalize the state’s primary health care system,” wrote Glans. Read more
Energy & Environment
Trump Administration Proposes Repealing Obama-Era Fracking Law
In this article for Environment & Climate News, reporter Kenneth Artz writes about how the Department of the Interior has proposed repealing a 2015 Obama-era rule governing hydraulic fracturing on federal and tribal lands. The new rule would hand over the regulation and enforcement of fracking on federal and Indian lands from the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) to state and tribal governments. The 2015 regulation set standards for fracking-related activities, including the disclosure of chemicals used in the fracking process and standards to maintain the integrity of well casings. Officials in the Trump administration say the regulation largely duplicates existing state and tribal standards and imposes as much as $45 million in annual compliance costs on the oil and gas industry, inhibiting domestic exploration and development. Read more
New Florida Law Protects Religious Expression in Public Schools
In this article for School Reform News, Managing Editor Teresa Mull writes about a new law in Florida prohibiting public school districts from preventing or punishing students or employees for expressing religious beliefs. Senate Bill 436, the Florida Student and School Personnel Religious Liberties Act, “requires that students be allowed to pray or participate in religious activities or gatherings before, during and after school, to the same extent secular activities or clubs are allowed.” SB 436 also requires school district employees to evaluate students’ work with the same standards regardless of whether religious belief is expressed, and they must allow students to wear religious clothing and accessories. School districts must also adopt a policy “creating a limited public forum for student speakers at school events where students speak publicly and cannot discriminate against voluntary religious expression by a student on an otherwise permissible subject.” Gov. Rick Scott signed SB 436 into law in June, and it went into effect in July. Read more
From Our Free-Market Friends
The Old New California Vision
In this Capital Ideas paper, Kerry Jackson, a fellow with the Center for California Reform at the Pacific Research Institute, writes about the need for California to return to its economic roots: policies that embraced individual liberty. Jackson also notes some of the problems facing the Golden State, including increasing energy prices, a high poverty rate, and crippling regulations. Jackson says state lawmakers have ignored, and even made worse, these problems, and he calls for a new vision for the state that would allow the private sector to flourish and restrain state and local governments from over-legislating. Read more